WN 4464 · DAL → AMA

departs 4:02 PM CT · arrives 5:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AMA?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,367 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 5.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ 4pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ AMA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

AMA (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,180 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4464 · DAL → AMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMA?