WN 4511 · AUS → DAL

departs 5:46 AM CT · arrives 6:56 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
15%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,033 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from AUS are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility7.33333 mi Precip1.66 in

DAL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling867 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.97 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4511 · AUS → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?