Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4532
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 4532 · MCI → LAS
departs 9:45 AM CT · arrives 10:45 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 7%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.67 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.