Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 45
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 45 · DAL → HOU
departs 5:30 PM CT · arrives 6:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 44%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
74%
Arrive 1h+ late
32%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
74%
Yes 74%
No 26%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
36%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
5pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 1,567 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 1.71 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.