WN 4603 · HOU → MCI

departs 8:01 AM CT · arrives 10:05 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

MCI (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.67 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4603 · HOU → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?