Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 460
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 460 · MSY → FLL
departs 4:05 PM CT · arrives 7:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 19%
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.30 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.84 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.