WN 4645 · MCI → HOU

departs 7:41 PM CT · arrives 9:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.67 in

HOU (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.65 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4645 · MCI → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?