Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4664
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 4664 · MSY → MDW
departs 11:45 AM CT · arrives 2:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 21%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±2 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.45 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.