Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 46
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 46 · HOU → DAL
departs 5:30 PM CT · arrives 6:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 18%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±14 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
32%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 2.6 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,033 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.