Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4704
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 4704 · HRL → HOU
departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 7:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HRL
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
HRL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HRL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.