Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4716
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 4716 · MDW → BOS
departs 12:30 PM CT · arrives 3:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 34%
Mon 10/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
BOS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.70 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.