WN 4749 · DAL → LGA

departs 3:56 PM CT · arrives 8:36 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
17%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,367 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 5.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

LGA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4749 · DAL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?