Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4759
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 4759 · MCI → DAL
departs 1:00 PM CT · arrives 2:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 18%
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
88%
chance · ±0 pts
+37 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
88%
Leave 15+ late
76%
Arrive 1h+ late
69%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 71% · changed +37 pts in 24h
+37 pts
88%
Yes 88%
No 12%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +39 pts in 24h
+39 pts
76%
Yes 76%
No 24%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +53 pts in 24h
+53 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
10%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
39%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 1 mi
Precip 2.64 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 1,600 ft
Visibility 1.25 mi
Precip 1.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.