Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4763
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 4763 · ATL → DAL
departs 9:30 PM ET · arrives 10:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Mon 10/5 28%
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±1 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 3.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 3.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.