WN 4783 · DAL → ELP

departs 12:23 PM CT · arrives 1:16 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
41%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

↓ DAL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

ELP (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4783 · DAL → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?