WN 478 · MCO → CMH

departs 7:01 AM ET · arrives 9:26 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into CMH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

CMH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 478 · MCO → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?