Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 481
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 481 · BNA → CMH
departs 4:40 PM CT · arrives 7:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 48%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
41%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
CMH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.