Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4825
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 4825 · HOU → FLL
departs 8:40 PM CT · arrives 12:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 40%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 38%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
HOU is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.