WN 4834 · DEN → HOU

departs 7:11 AM MT · arrives 10:41 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

HOU (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4834 · DEN → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?