Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 488
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 488 · DAL → MAF
departs 4:10 PM CT · arrives 5:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 24%
Fri 10/9 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 68% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 64% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
32%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,367 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 5.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day
↑
4pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
DAL is prone to delays
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 1.25 mi
Precip 3.06 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 8,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.