WN 4910 · MCO → OKC

departs 9:41 AM ET · arrives 11:35 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 3.3 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4910 · MCO → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?