WN 4924 · BNA → GSP

departs 10:21 AM CT · arrives 12:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts −27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ BNA is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into GSP at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

GSP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4924 · BNA → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?