WN 4 · HOU → DAL

departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 8:10 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±5 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
20%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.6 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

DAL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.59 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4 · HOU → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?