Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5058
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 5058 · CMH → BNA
departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 6:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 41%
Mon 10/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.