Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5059
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 5059 · BNA → CMH
departs 6:40 PM CT · arrives 9:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 39%
Mon 10/5 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
CMH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.