WN 518 · BNA → CVG

departs 11:33 AM CT · arrives 1:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from BNA are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 518 · BNA → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?