Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 57
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 57 · HOU → CRP
departs 10:40 PM CT · arrives 11:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Mon 10/5 30%
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±0 pts
+27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
71%
Arrive 1h+ late
44%
Cancelled
24%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +33 pts in 24h
+33 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
24%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, thunderstorms forecast at CRP that day
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HOU that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CRP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.73 in
CRP (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.