WN 587 · CUN → AUS

departs 11:41 AM EST · arrives 2:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CUN

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CUN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

AUS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 587 · CUN → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?