Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 645
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 645 · FLL → CMH
departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 10:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 33%
Mon 10/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±4 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
FLL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.84 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.