WN 654 · AUS → CMH

departs 8:11 AM CT · arrives 12:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,033 ft, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ AUS is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into CMH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility7 mi Precip1.07 in

CMH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 654 · AUS → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?