WN 660 · BNA → MSY

departs 12:11 PM CT · arrives 1:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 660 · BNA → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?