Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 681
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 681 · SAN → PHX
departs 9:15 AM PT · arrives 10:40 AM MT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 22%
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
9am departures from SAN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.