Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 692
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 692 · BDL → MCO
departs 5:10 PM ET · arrives 8:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 9/30 26%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3 23%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BDL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.