WN 701 · RIC → BWI

departs 3:06 PM ET · arrives 4:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from RIC are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 701 · RIC → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?