Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 706 · DEN → PHX
departs 11:00 AM MT · arrives 11:50 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 19%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±6 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from DEN are often late
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.16 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.