WN 711 · BNA → SAT

departs 8:15 AM CT · arrives 10:34 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 1.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip1.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 711 · BNA → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?