WN 733 · RDU → BNA

departs 4:21 PM ET · arrives 5:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from RDU are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 733 · RDU → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?