Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 734
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 734 · LAX → MDW
departs 11:45 AM PT · arrives 5:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3 26%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.89 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.