WN 738 · DAL → SAN

departs 8:11 AM CT · arrives 9:28 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,033 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 8am departures from DAL are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling867 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.97 in

SAN (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 738 · DAL → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?