WN 738 · SAN → PDX

departs 10:01 AM PT · arrives 12:42 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from SAN are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 738 · SAN → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?