WN 785 · AUS → ELP

departs 11:01 AM CT · arrives 11:47 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,033 ft, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ ELP is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.69 in

ELP (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 785 · AUS → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?