WN 839 · BUF → DEN

departs 4:51 PM ET · arrives 6:24 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, 0.2 in of rain forecast at BUF that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.28 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 839 · BUF → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?