WN 865 · ABQ → BUR

departs 10:31 AM MT · arrives 11:40 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↑ ABQ is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 865 · ABQ → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?