WN 866 · MCI → DEN

departs 12:21 PM CT · arrives 1:10 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.60 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 866 · MCI → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?