WN 873 · DAL → PHX

departs 9:32 AM CT · arrives 10:14 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip3.06 in

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 873 · DAL → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?