Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 947
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 947 · BWI → FLL
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 7:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.