Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 948
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 948 · SAN → FAT
departs 9:45 PM PT · arrives 11:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Thu 10/1
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.