Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 989
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 989 · MCO → MCI
departs 9:05 AM ET · arrives 10:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 14%
Mon 10/5 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.14 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.