Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 992
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 992 · LAS → BZN
departs 10:05 PM PT · arrives 1:15 AM MT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
53%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Arrive at BZN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BZN?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BZN (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.