Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 9
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
WN 9 · MCI → MDW
departs 4:05 PM CT · arrives 5:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 22%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
75%
chance · ±0 pts
+29 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
75%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +29 pts in 24h
+29 pts
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.83 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.